Guessing Games

Niall Harrison on Torque Control has posted the long list for this year's Arthur C Clark Award. It's the first time they've done this. I think it's a good idea.

I'm not going to repeat the list, nor am I going to turn it into one of those "memes" - you know the sort, the titles you've read in bold, those on the TBR pile in italics. I will point out that, of the list, I’ve read Matter, Iain Banks (blogged about it here); Kéthani, Eric Brown; Template, Matthew Hughes (reviewed it for Interzone 218); The Night Sessions, Ken MacLeod (blogged about it here); Debatable Space, Philip Palmer; and House of Suns Alastair Reynolds. Sitting on my book shelves and waiting to be read are The Knife of Never Letting Go, Patrick Ness; Going Under, Justina Robson; Halting State, Charles Stross; Necropath, Eric Brown; and Omega, Christopher Evans.

What I thought might prove an interesting exercise would be to try and predict the short list. That's six from the forty-six on the long list. And here are my guesses...

• The Heritage, Will Ashon
• Blonde Roots, Bernadine Evaristo
• The Gone-Away World, Nick Harkaway
• The Quiet War, Paul McAuley
• The Knife of Never Letting Go, Patrick Ness
• Anathem, Neal Stephenson

I've not chosen these titles because they're the ones that would make my own personal short list. I've picked them because they're the ones I think the judges will choose - based on reviews I've read of the books, comments on various blogs and sites, my general feeling of each book's reception, and previous short lists for the Arthur C Clarke Award.

We'll find out how close I was in about a month's time...



EDIT: by "long list", I mean the list of books submitted by the publishers for consideration. These are not novels the Award jury has chosen.